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Predictions
July 1997

The Malthusian rationale for predictions in the spheres of politics and security issues, is predicated on the assumption that scarcity produces conflict. If Lester Brown is correct that since 1990 or so we have moved into a new era of scarcity (see his books on Who Will Feed China [1995], and Tough Choices [1996]) and since world population continues to grow at about 79 million annually, we can predict a continuation of conflict in many areas.

Predictions for the United States

South Africa

The Middle East

The World of Technology

World Flashpoints for Future Conflict


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